Fire ArcaneTier 2
at 淡水 貓腳印 AMB 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
24.6%
avg ELO -16.3 per match
expected value
40.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
37.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1471
· median 1471
· range 1471–1471
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1265
Q3 1455
1536
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 23.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 37.8% | -11.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.2% | -23.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
